With the world’s population expected to reach ten billion by mid-century, agriculture must produce more with less – every season, everywhere. The knowledge and tools to end and prevent food insecurity are already in hand, but they have yet to be used wisely and at scale.
In 2004, Aceh was hardest hit by the Indian Ocean tsunami. In 2025, Indonesia’s most disaster-aware province was among the worst hit by floods. The failure was not forecasting, but what happened – or didn’t – after the alarms were raised.
Despite accurate forecasts, weak cyclones in South Asia triggered deadly floods – highlighting how warmer oceans are amplifying rainfall and reshaping cyclone risks in a warming climate.
Current macroeconomic frameworks rightly treat climate shocks as threats to fiscal stability, but do not recognise the economic benefits of investing in measures that mitigate their effects.