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India’s withdrawal from hosting COP33 reflects shifting climate diplomacy priorities – as finance gaps, geopolitical tensions and rising expectations reshape global climate negotiations.

The COP30 climate summit has brought these minerals, and China’s central role, to the fore of just transition debates.

With the US pulling out and China seen as cautious, the conference in Brazil will be a test for the world’s ability to meet the Paris Agreement and finance goals.

Only around a third of the latest country climate pledges submitted to the UN express support for the “transition away from fossil fuels”.

Oleh Robin Hicks

Oleh Josh Gabbatiss

Oleh Ng Wai Mun

Oleh Rhick Lars Albay

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COP presidencies tend to seek fresh agreements and ambitious initiatives, but when the celebrations are over, implementation often falls short. That is why Brazil’s COP30 presidency must eschew flashy results in favour of pragmatic pathways to deliver on past agreements. Oleh Laurence Tubiana, Carlos Lopes dan Jacinda Ardern

There is scepticism around climate finance through private investments, and if private finance is to play a bigger role, policy reforms ahead of this year’s COP30 are needed. Alternatively, could the G20 or BRICS lead on climate finance? Oleh Montek Singh Ahluwalia