Suntech leads NY stock climb on solar demand: China overnight

Chinese solar companies climbed, driving an index of the nation’s stocks traded in New York to gain the most in a month, as Renewable Energy Corp. ASA said demand for the technology is shifting to Asia and the US.

Suntech Power Holdings, the world’s largest solar-panel maker, jumped 6.9 per cent while Trina Solar rose to a three-week high. Semiconductor Manufacturing International, a Shanghai-based circuit-chip maker, advanced after saying first-quarter sales will increase from the previous three months and traded at the biggest discount in two weeks to stock in Hong Kong. The Bloomberg China-US 55 Index of the most-traded Chinese equities in the US advanced 1.6 per cent to 106.13 yesterday in New York.

Oversupply in the global solar industry is showing signs of abating with demand expected to shift from Europe to Asian and US markets, Renewable Energy (REC), a Sandvika, Norway-based maker of polysilicon used for producing solar modules, said in its earnings presentation yesterday. China’s government aims to double solar installations this year and has set preferential power tariffs designed to encourage manufacturers and developers to move into cleaner energy sources.

“Chinese solar stocks rebounded after a big loss last year as we see a natural dynamic of geographical diversifications from Europe to Asia,” Hari Chandra Polavarapu, an analyst who covers the Chinese solar industry at Auriga USA LLC in New York, said in an interview yesterday. “There is optimism in rising China demand and it needs to adopt policies to greatly increase solar installations, which will favor its own manufacturers and the industry globally.”

China ETF gains

The iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund, the biggest Chinese exchange-traded fund in the US, rose 1.7 per cent to $40.40, the biggest jump in three weeks.

Suntech Power rose to $3.85, the highest level since September, extending its advance in the US this year to 74 per cent. The stock slid 72 percent in 2011 as solar module prices fell amid industry overcapacity.

Trina Solar, China’s fifth-largest solar-panel supplier based in Changzhou in the eastern Jiangsu province, surged 13 per cent to $9.23, the most in four weeks. Yingli Green Energy Holding, a Baoding, China-based maker of solar modules, rose 7.5 per cent to $4.90, the highest level since January 18.

China plans to develop three gigawatts of solar capacity this year, double its existing capacity, the National Energy Administration said on its website on January 11. Installations in China may reach four gigawatts this year, Zhenrong Shi, Suntech’s chief executive officer, said in a Bloomberg TV interview in Davos on January 25.

Not enough

The addition of three to four gigawatts in installations annually is not enough for China, according to Auriga’s Polavarapu. Installations may reach as much as seven gigawatts this year, and the annual level should be 10 gigawatts in the next five years should the government provide support to the industry, he said. Polavarapu recommends investors “hold” Suntech Power shares and “buy” Trina Solar and Yingli Green.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added 0.2 per cent to a seven-month high of 1,349.96, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.4 per cent to 2,347.53 yesterday, the highest level in two months.

American depositary receipts of Semiconductor Manufacturing increased 4.6 per cent to $2.74. The ADRs, each representing 50 common shares in the company, traded 3.4 per cent belowstock in Hong Kong, which surged 4.8 per cent to HK$0.44 per share yesterday, the equivalent of 5.6 US cents and the biggest discount since Jan. 26.

‘Ahead of street’

The company’s revenue for the first quarter this year will rise between 7 per cent and 9 per cent from the last three months of 2011, according to a filing with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange yesterday. Analysts had forecast a decline.

Fourth-quarter sales fell 5.6 per cent from the previous three months to $289.6 million, Semiconductor said. That was lower than the $296.1 million average estimate of seven analysts in a Bloomberg survey. The fourth-quarter net loss was $165.6 million, widening from $88.1 million in the previous quarter.

Semiconductor’s revenue guidance was “far ahead of street, which was looking for a decline,” Steven C. Pelayo, a Hong Kong-based analyst at HSBC Securities Asia said by e-mail. He maintained a “neutral” rating on the stock and a 12-month price target of $2.65, citing “continued concerns over finding profitability, which will come in more than a year away at least,” he said.

Melco earnings

Melco Crown Entertainment, the Macau casino operator, will release its financial results for the fourth quarter today. Adjusted net profit rose more than fivefold from a year earlier to 15.6 cents for each ADR, according to the average forecast of seven analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Melco Crown’s ADRs, which are equal to three common shares, climbed 4.1 percent to $11.91, the biggest gain in a week. That represents a 2.3 per cent premium to its shares in Hong Kong, the most in three days.

Chinese consumer prices probably rose 4 per cent in January, compared with a 4.1 per cent advance in December, according to the median of 33 economists’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The inflation data is due to be released today.

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